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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto · draw · plus 1
plus 1Lotto
JackpotZAR 9,589,063
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/52 + 1/52 · Aug 2017 – Sep 2025draw 224 of 2,540 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
Lotto was a 6/52 + 1/52 · Aug 2017 – Sep 2025 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 223 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 September 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 73% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 26 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 223 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (6, 8, 12, 44) with the draw of 26 May 2018 — its closest relative in 223 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 16% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (18 September 2019): 6, 44 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 148 — the 37th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. No two numbers side by side. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →48 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 44% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈2.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 + Bonus — 3,784 winners, 37% more than the 2.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0 | ZAR 9,589,063 |
| 5 + Bonus | 1 | ZAR 168,354 |
| 5 | 40 | ZAR 2,805 |
| 4 + Bonus | 124 | ZAR 1,123 |
| 4 | 2,099 | ZAR 132 |
| 3 + Bonus | 3,784 | ZAR 73.00 |
| 3 | 39,464 | ZAR 25.00 |
| 2 + Bonus | 32,528 | ZAR 15.00 |
| - | 78,040 | — |