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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto · draw · plus 1
plus 1Lotto
JackpotZAR 3,990,679
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/52 + 1/52 · Aug 2017 – Sep 2025draw 187 of 2,540 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
Lotto was a 6/52 + 1/52 · Aug 2017 – Sep 2025 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 186 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 May 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 65% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 21 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 186 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 6 numbers (8, 40, 46) with the draw of 15 December 2018 — its closest relative in 186 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (11 May 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 180 — the 72th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. No two numbers side by side. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →16 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 60% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈2.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2 + Bonus — 21,005 winners, 7% fewer than the 22k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0 | ZAR 3,990,679 |
| 5 + Bonus | 0 | ZAR 0.00 |
| 5 | 26 | ZAR 4,342 |
| 4 + Bonus | 60 | ZAR 2,211 |
| 4 | 1,565 | ZAR 149 |
| 3 + Bonus | 2,027 | ZAR 115 |
| 3 | 29,958 | ZAR 25.00 |
| 2 + Bonus | 21,005 | ZAR 15.00 |
| - | 54,641 | — |