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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw · plus 1

Wednesday, 17 April 2019

plus 1Lotto

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 19
  3. 21
  4. 23
  5. 25
  6. 27
  7. 7

JackpotZAR 2,971,968

The crowdHeld 26% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/52 + 1/52 · Aug 2017 – Sep 2025draw 179 of 2,540 under them

← 2019-04-13All recent draws2019-04-20 →

Also drawn that day

  • main
    1. 1
    2. 19
    3. 38
    4. 42
    5. 50
    6. 51
    7. 21
  • plus 2
    1. 3
    2. 8
    3. 19
    4. 23
    5. 38
    6. 45
    7. 16

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 19 21 23 25 27 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Lotto was a 6/52 + 1/52 · Aug 2017 – Sep 2025 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 178 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 April 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

18oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 18 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 1% of every possible ticket.

  • sum18th
  • odd99th
  • low95th
  • widest gap4th
  • neighbours26th
  • spread1th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 21 of each

1130times
1925times
2127times
2327times
2522times
2725times

Every number was expected about that many times after 178 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (19, 23, 27) with the draw of 3 October 2018 — its closest relative in 178 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 April 2019): 19 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

126

The numbers add up to 126 — the 17th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 159. No two numbers side by side. 47% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 25% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2019-04-17

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 5.4Mto 186k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 22lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.20

Where the money went

  • 655%ZAR 3M
  • 2 + Bonus12%ZAR 640.6K
  • 320%ZAR 1.1M
  • 5 other tiers13%ZAR 707.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.20 by chanceZAR 2,971,968
  2. 5 + Bonus5≈ 1.2 by chanceZAR 24,486
  3. 5103≈ 54 by chanceZAR 792
  4. 4 + Bonus215≈ 135 by chanceZAR 471
  5. 42,604≈ 3.0k by chanceZAR 77.00
  6. 3 + Bonus5,170≈ 4.0k by chanceZAR 39.00
  7. 2 + Bonus42,708≈ 43k by chanceZAR 15.00
  8. 342,330≈ 57k by chanceZAR 25.00
  9. -93,136—
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 + Bonus — 5,170 winners, 30% more than the 4.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
61ZAR 2,971,968
5 + Bonus5ZAR 24,486
5103ZAR 792
4 + Bonus215ZAR 471
42,604ZAR 77.00
3 + Bonus5,170ZAR 39.00
342,330ZAR 25.00
2 + Bonus42,708ZAR 15.00
-93,136—