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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto · draw · plus 1
plus 1Lotto
JackpotZAR 14,292,476
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/49 + 1/49 · Jan 2010 – Aug 2017draw 784 of 1,577 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
Lotto was a 6/49 + 1/49 · Jan 2010 – Aug 2017 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 783 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 July 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 31 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 9% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 96 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 783 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (11, 35, 42, 49) with the draw of 27 July 2016 — its closest relative in 783 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 54% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (12 July 2017): 42, 45 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 189 — the 88th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →49 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 58% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,154 winners, 3% fewer than the 3.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0 | ZAR 14,292,476 |
| 5 + Bonus | 2 | ZAR 189,685 |
| 5 | 55 | ZAR 6,504 |
| 4 + Bonus | 174 | ZAR 1,505 |
| 4 | 3,154 | ZAR 132 |
| 3 + Bonus | 4,413 | ZAR 94.00 |
| 3 | 57,592 | ZAR 20.00 |