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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto · draw
ResultLotto
JackpotZAR 30,829,286
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/49 + 1/49 · Jan 2010 – Aug 2017draw 727 of 1,577 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.
Lotto was a 6/49 + 1/49 · Jan 2010 – Aug 2017 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 726 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 December 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 71% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 89 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 726 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 6 numbers (14, 30, 33) with the draw of 21 October 2015 — its closest relative in 726 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (21 December 2016): 11, 33 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 143 — the 41th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 32–33. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →14 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 43% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈5.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 + Bonus — 5,951 winners, 8% fewer than the 6.5k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 2 | ZAR 15,414,643 |
| 5 + Bonus | 3 | ZAR 158,800 |
| 5 | 109 | ZAR 3,612 |
| 4 + Bonus | 196 | ZAR 3,677 |
| 4 | 4,520 | ZAR 145 |
| 3 + Bonus | 5,951 | ZAR 112 |
| 3 | 86,238 | ZAR 50.00 |