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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto · draw
ResultLotto
JackpotZAR 20,000,000
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/49 + 1/49 · Jan 2010 – Aug 2017draw 414 of 1,577 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.
Lotto was a 6/49 + 1/49 · Jan 2010 – Aug 2017 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 413 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 December 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 21 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 2% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 51 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 413 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (33, 34, 43, 48) with the draw of 17 March 2010 — its closest relative in 413 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 33% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (18 December 2013): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 232 — the 99th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 33–34. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →46 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.3× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 75% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈6.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 + Bonus — 11,309 winners, 35% more than the 8.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0 | ZAR 20,000,000 |
| 5 + Bonus | 8 | ZAR 58,681 |
| 5 | 142 | ZAR 7,438 |
| 4 + Bonus | 905 | ZAR 648 |
| 4 | 6,577 | ZAR 298 |
| 3 + Bonus | 11,309 | ZAR 114 |
| 3 | 112,051 | ZAR 37.00 |