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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto · draw
ResultLotto
JackpotZAR 15,000,000
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/49 + 1/49 · Jan 2010 – Aug 2017draw 282 of 1,577 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.
Lotto was a 6/49 + 1/49 · Jan 2010 – Aug 2017 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 281 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 September 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 83% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 34 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 281 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (24, 33, 40, 47) with the draw of 12 May 2012 — its closest relative in 281 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 24% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (12 September 2012): 15 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 171 — the 73th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →33 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 54% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈8.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 + Bonus — 9,273 winners, 6% fewer than the 9.9k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0 | ZAR 15,000,000 |
| 5 + Bonus | 2 | ZAR 248,041 |
| 5 | 127 | ZAR 8,788 |
| 4 + Bonus | 340 | ZAR 1,823 |
| 4 | 7,612 | ZAR 272 |
| 3 + Bonus | 9,273 | ZAR 147 |
| 3 | 131,947 | ZAR 33.00 |