Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto · draw
ResultLotto
JackpotZAR 2,638,658
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/49 + 1/49 · Jan 2010 – Aug 2017draw 186 of 1,577 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.
Lotto was a 6/49 + 1/49 · Jan 2010 – Aug 2017 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 185 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 October 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 33 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 11% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 23 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 185 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 6 numbers (29, 35, 41) with the draw of 12 March 2011 — its closest relative in 185 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (12 October 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 176 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 22–23. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →35 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 48% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 + Bonus — 5,371 winners, 10% fewer than the 6.0k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 2 | ZAR 1,319,329 |
| 5 + Bonus | 0 | ZAR 0.00 |
| 5 | 56 | ZAR 14,694 |
| 4 + Bonus | 148 | ZAR 3,290 |
| 4 | 4,140 | ZAR 355 |
| 3 + Bonus | 5,371 | ZAR 184 |
| 3 | 79,457 | ZAR 38.00 |