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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto · draw
ResultLotto
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/49 + 1/49 · Jan 2010 – Aug 2017draw 161 of 1,577 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.
Lotto was a 6/49 + 1/49 · Jan 2010 – Aug 2017 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 160 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 July 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 25% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 20 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 160 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (12, 36, 38, 39) with the draw of 9 April 2011 — its closest relative in 160 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 15% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (16 July 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 186 — the 86th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 38–39. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →36 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 65% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 + Bonus — 5,621 winners, 6% more than the 5.3k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0 | ZAR 0.00 |
| 5 + Bonus | 0 | ZAR 0.00 |
| 5 | 70 | ZAR 9,579 |
| 4 + Bonus | 170 | ZAR 2,334 |
| 4 | 4,093 | ZAR 293 |
| 3 + Bonus | 5,621 | ZAR 143 |
| 3 | 70,816 | ZAR 35.00 |