Friday, 19 February 2016

Its nearest twin

Shares 5 of 6 numbers (2, 5, 8, 11, 24) with the draw of 17 June 2013 — its closest relative in 1,225 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 55% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 February 2016): 13 carried over. Chance says 85% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 63 — the 17th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 78. No two numbers side by side. 78% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 4 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.