Tuesday, 27 August 2024

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (10, 28, 30, 38) with the draw of 28 June 2024 — its closest relative in 5,242 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 August 2024): 39 carried over. Chance says 66% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 154 — the 90th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10, 38–39. 59% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.