Friday, 5 January 2024

Its nearest twin

Shares 5 of 6 numbers (7, 8, 19, 30, 37) with the draw of 6 August 2013 — its closest relative in 5,007 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 26% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 January 2024): 19 carried over. Chance says 66% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 106 — the 29th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 7–8. 59% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.