Tuesday, 5 December 2023

Its nearest twin

Shares 5 of 6 numbers (8, 11, 13, 22, 29) with the draw of 16 November 2016 — its closest relative in 4,976 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 26% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 December 2023): 11 carried over. Chance says 66% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 122 — the 52th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 59% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.