Wednesday, 19 July 2023

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (11, 13, 30, 35) with the draw of 28 January 2022 — its closest relative in 4,837 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 July 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 66% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 125 — the 57th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 59% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

32 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 20% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.