Monday, 17 July 2023

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (6, 10, 20, 28) with the draw of 17 February 2022 — its closest relative in 4,835 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 July 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 66% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 136 — the 72th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 59% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.