Wednesday, 26 October 2022

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 20, 23, 25) with the draw of 24 May 2022 — its closest relative in 4,571 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 October 2022): 8 carried over. Chance says 66% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 111 — the 36th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 59% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 30 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.