Sunday, 22 May 2022

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 3, 29, 36) with the draw of 5 March 2022 — its closest relative in 4,414 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 May 2022): 5 carried over. Chance says 66% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 82 — the 7th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3. 59% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

36 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.