Monday, 14 September 2020

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (20, 26, 32, 37) with the draw of 10 September 2020 — its closest relative in 3,799 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 September 2020): 20, 26 carried over. Chance says 66% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 144 — the 82th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 59% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

7 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.