Saturday, 16 March 2019

Its nearest twin

Shares 5 of 6 numbers (2, 22, 23, 36, 37) with the draw of 5 December 2010 — its closest relative in 3,251 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 18% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 March 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 66% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 159 — the 93th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 22–23, 36–37. 59% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 24% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.