Saturday, 22 July 2017

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (14, 15, 35, 39) with the draw of 6 February 2017 — its closest relative in 2,653 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 July 2017): 14, 15 carried over. Chance says 66% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 126 — the 58th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15, 15–16. 59% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.