Tuesday, 25 October 2016

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (13, 17, 25, 28) with the draw of 4 August 2013 — its closest relative in 2,383 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 October 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 66% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 129 — the 63th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 25–26. 59% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.