Tuesday, 28 June 2016

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (6, 22, 29, 34) with the draw of 2 October 2014 — its closest relative in 2,264 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 June 2016): 38, 39 carried over. Chance says 66% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 168 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 38–39. 59% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

6 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 24% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.