Sunday, 23 February 2014

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (11, 14, 19, 34) with the draw of 27 July 2012 — its closest relative in 1,409 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 February 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 66% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 108 — the 32th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 59% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.