Saturday, 21 September 2013

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 6, 14, 21) with the draw of 16 September 2013 — its closest relative in 1,254 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 September 2013): nothing carried over. Chance says 66% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 66 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21. 59% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

6 had not appeared for 5 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.