Monday, 1 October 2012

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (19, 27, 32, 39) with the draw of 22 April 2012 — its closest relative in 899 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 September 2012): 10 carried over. Chance says 66% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 134 — the 70th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 59% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.