Sunday, 15 July 2012

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (7, 9, 23, 38) with the draw of 19 May 2012 — its closest relative in 821 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 87% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 July 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 66% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 90 — the 12th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10. 59% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

9 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.