Tuesday, 14 June 2011

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 6, 21, 29) with the draw of 12 March 2011 — its closest relative in 431 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 66% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 June 2011): 29 carried over. Chance says 66% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 92 — the 14th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 5–6, 6–7. 59% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 35 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.