Saturday, 24 April 2010

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 6 numbers (10, 39) with the draw of 20 April 2010 — its closest relative in 16 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 April 2010): 10 carried over. Chance says 66% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 99 — the 21th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 59% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

6 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.