Sunday, 9 December 2018

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (2, 7, 20, 23) with the draw of 28 February 2018 — its closest relative in 3,154 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 91% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 December 2018): 7 carried over. Chance says 61% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 76 — the 41th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 80. Side-by-side numbers: 23–24. 52% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.