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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 23 October 2024

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 13
  3. 16
  4. 39
  5. 41
  6. 46

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,319 of 2,626 under them

← 2024-10-21All recent draws2024-10-26 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 13 16 39 41 4629 Aug 2026, 09:35 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 October 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

60oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 69% of every possible ticket.

  • sum68th
  • odd77th
  • low48th
  • widest gap91th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread42th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 284 of each

11250times
13285times
16294times
39308times
41

Prize breakdown · 2024-10-23

  • Lines in play≈ 448kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$40.5Kto 8.3k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 54lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.03

Where the money went

  • Match 510%$4.0K
  • Match 432%$12.8K
  • Match 359%$23.7K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.03 by chance$2,600,000
  2. Match 5

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

264times
46272times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,318 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (11, 13, 16, 46) with the draw of 27 February 2023 — its closest relative in 2,318 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 October 2024): 13, 16 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

166

The numbers add up to 166 — the 68th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

46 had not appeared for 33 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 63% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
4≈ 8.3 by chance
$1,000
  • Match 4426≈ 434 by chance$30.00
  • Match 37,911≈ 7.9k by chance$3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈448k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 7,911 winners, 0% more than the 7.9k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$2,600,000
    Match 54$1,000
    Match 4426$30.00
    Match 37,911$3.00
    Totals8,341—