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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 2 August 2023

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 21
  2. 25
  3. 33
  4. 35
  5. 45
  6. 46

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,127 of 2,632 under them

← 2023-07-31All recent draws2023-08-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed21 25 33 35 45 4629 Aug 2026, 09:35 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 August 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

28oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 28 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 6% of every possible ticket.

  • sum95th
  • odd94th
  • low20th
  • widest gap13th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread9th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 260 of each

21262times
25240times
33259times
35263times
45

Prize breakdown · 2023-08-02

  • Lines in play≈ 801kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$78.8Kto 15k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 54lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.06

Where the money went

  • Match 515%$12K
  • Match 431%$24.4K
  • Match 354%$42.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.06 by chance$5,000,000
  2. Match 5

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

269times
46256times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,126 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (21, 25, 33, 46) with the draw of 20 November 2021 — its closest relative in 2,126 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (31 July 2023): 21 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

205

The numbers add up to 205 — the 95th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 45–46. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 67% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
12≈ 15 by chance
$1,000
  • Match 4813≈ 776 by chance$30.00
  • Match 314,137≈ 14k by chance$3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈801k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 813 winners, 5% more than the 776 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$5,000,000
    Match 512$1,000
    Match 4813$30.00
    Match 314,137$3.00
    Totals14,962—