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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 23 July 2022

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 3
  3. 8
  4. 23
  5. 32
  6. 38

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,966 of 2,632 under them

← 2022-07-20All recent draws2022-07-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 3 8 23 32 3829 Aug 2026, 09:35 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 July 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

60oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 69% of every possible ticket.

  • sum9th
  • odd20th
  • low77th
  • widest gap50th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread47th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 241 of each

2225times
3241times
8240times
23254times
32

Prize breakdown · 2022-07-23

  • Lines in play≈ 544kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$1.7Mto 10k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 54lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 0.04

Where the money went

  • Match 696%$1.6M
  • Match 41.0%$16.2K
  • Match 31.7%$28.8K
  • 1 other tier0.9%$15K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 0.04 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

242times
38224times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,965 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 3, 8, 23) with the draw of 17 November 2010 — its closest relative in 1,965 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 86% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 July 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

106

The numbers add up to 106 — the 9th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 34% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$1,600,000
  • Match 515≈ 10 by chance$1,000
  • Match 4541≈ 526 by chance$30.00
  • Match 39,593≈ 9.6k by chance$3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈544k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 541 winners, 3% more than the 526 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61$1,600,000
    Match 515$1,000
    Match 4541$30.00
    Match 39,593$3.00
    Totals10,150—