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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Monday, 17 May 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 27
  3. 28
  4. 32
  5. 40
  6. 49

Jackpot$1,600,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,781 of 2,632 under them

← 2021-05-15All recent draws2021-05-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 27 28 32 40 4929 Aug 2026, 09:35 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 May 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

28oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 28 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 6% of every possible ticket.

  • sum80th
  • odd20th
  • low5th
  • widest gap94th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread98th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 218 of each

2204times
27214times
28219times
32219times
40

Prize breakdown · 2021-05-17

  • Lines in play≈ 337kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$35.5Kto 6.3k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 54lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.02

Where the money went

  • Match 523%$8K
  • Match 427%$9.7K
  • Match 350%$17.8K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.02 by chance$1,600,000
  2. Match 5

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

229times
49214times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,780 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (27, 28, 32, 40) with the draw of 7 June 2017 — its closest relative in 1,780 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 83% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 May 2021): 2 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

178

The numbers add up to 178 — the 79th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 27–28. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 54% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
8≈ 6.2 by chance
$1,000
  • Match 4322≈ 326 by chance$30.00
  • Match 35,944≈ 5.9k by chance$3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈337k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 5,944 winners, 0% more than the 5.9k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$1,600,000
    Match 58$1,000
    Match 4322$30.00
    Match 35,944$3.00
    Totals6,274—