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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 3 February 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 12
  4. 14
  5. 17
  6. 43

Jackpot$3,200,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,737 of 2,633 under them

← 2021-02-01All recent draws2021-02-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 2 12 14 17 4329 Aug 2026, 09:35 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 February 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

38oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 18% of every possible ticket.

  • sum3th
  • odd48th
  • low94th
  • widest gap96th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread78th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 213 of each

1199times
2198times
12228times
14225times
17

Prize breakdown · 2021-02-03

  • Lines in play≈ 588kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$59.3Kto 11k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 54lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.04

Where the money went

  • Match 520%$12K
  • Match 427%$16.1K
  • Match 353%$31.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.04 by chance$3,200,000
  2. Match 5

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

215times
43223times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,736 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (2, 12, 43) with the draw of 6 January 2021 — its closest relative in 1,736 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 February 2021): 14, 17 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

89

The numbers add up to 89 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 30% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
12≈ 11 by chance
$1,000
  • Match 4538≈ 569 by chance$30.00
  • Match 310,375≈ 10k by chance$3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈588k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 538 winners, 6% fewer than the 569 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$3,200,000
    Match 512$1,000
    Match 4538$30.00
    Match 310,375$3.00
    Totals10,925—