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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 12 December 2020

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 14
  3. 15
  4. 17
  5. 22
  6. 38

Jackpot$3,200,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,714 of 2,633 under them

← 2020-12-09All recent draws2020-12-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 14 15 17 22 3829 Aug 2026, 09:35 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 December 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 63% of every possible ticket.

  • sum12th
  • odd48th
  • low94th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 210 of each

5199times
14220times
15200times
17213times
22

Prize breakdown · 2020-12-12

  • Lines in play≈ 706kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$3.3Mto 13k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 54lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 0.05

Where the money went

  • Match 698%$3.2M
  • Match 40.6%$19.4K
  • Match 31.1%$37.4K
  • 1 other tier0.5%$16K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 0.05 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

222times
38200times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,713 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (14, 15, 17, 22) with the draw of 26 April 2014 — its closest relative in 1,713 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 December 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

111

The numbers add up to 111 — the 12th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 35% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$3,200,000
  • Match 516≈ 13 by chance$1,000
  • Match 4646≈ 684 by chance$30.00
  • Match 312,456≈ 12k by chance$3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈706k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 646 winners, 5% fewer than the 684 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61$3,200,000
    Match 516$1,000
    Match 4646$30.00
    Match 312,456$3.00
    Totals13,119—