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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 10 October 2018

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 17
  2. 33
  3. 37
  4. 38
  5. 41
  6. 44

Jackpot$4,100,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 · since Jan 2010draw 1,374 of 2,631 under them

← 2018-10-08All recent draws2018-10-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed17 33 37 38 41 4429 Aug 2026, 09:35 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 October 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

39oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 20% of every possible ticket.

  • sum97th
  • odd77th
  • low5th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread14th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 168 of each

17172times
33177times
37180times
38158times
41

Prize breakdown · 2018-10-10

  • Lines in play≈ 580kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$54.2Kto 11k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 54lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.04

Where the money went

  • Match 515%$8K
  • Match 429%$15.5K
  • Match 357%$30.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.04 by chance$4,100,000
  2. Match 5

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

158times
44157times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,373 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (17, 33, 38) with the draw of 6 December 2017 — its closest relative in 1,373 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 October 2018): 37 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

210

The numbers add up to 210 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 37–38. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.3× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 75% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
8≈ 11 by chance
$1,000
  • Match 4516≈ 561 by chance$30.00
  • Match 310,229≈ 10k by chance$3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈580k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 516 winners, 8% fewer than the 561 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$4,100,000
    Match 58$1,000
    Match 4516$30.00
    Match 310,229$3.00
    Totals10,753—