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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 30 December 2015

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 3
  3. 6
  4. 21
  5. 23
  6. 40

Jackpot$4,300,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 · since Jan 2010draw 939 of 2,628 under them

← 2015-12-28All recent draws2016-01-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 3 6 21 23 4029 Aug 2026, 09:35 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 December 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 59% of every possible ticket.

  • sum5th
  • odd48th
  • low94th
  • widest gap65th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread57th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 115 of each

2104times
3118times
6110times
21119times
23

Prize breakdown · 2015-12-30

  • Lines in play≈ 594kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$62.2Kto 11k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 54lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.04

Where the money went

  • Match 523%$14.0K
  • Match 427%$16.7K
  • Match 351%$31.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.04 by chance$4,300,000
  2. Match 5

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

116times
40123times

Every number was expected about that many times after 938 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 5 of 6 numbers (2, 3, 6, 21, 23) with the draw of 3 October 2015 — its closest relative in 938 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 1.7% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 December 2015): 21 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

95

The numbers add up to 95 — the 5th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 26% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
14≈ 11 by chance
$1,000
  • Match 4557≈ 575 by chance$30.00
  • Match 310,483≈ 10k by chance$3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈594k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 557 winners, 3% fewer than the 575 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$4,300,000
    Match 514$1,000
    Match 4557$30.00
    Match 310,483$3.00
    Totals11,054—