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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 14 February 2015

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 10
  3. 15
  4. 16
  5. 29
  6. 49

Jackpot$4,500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 · since Jan 2010draw 802 of 2,630 under them

← 2015-02-11All recent draws2015-02-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 10 15 16 29 4929 Aug 2026, 09:35 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 February 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 44% of every possible ticket.

  • sum21th
  • odd48th
  • low77th
  • widest gap81th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 98 of each

4101times
1095times
1580times
1688times
29

Prize breakdown · 2015-02-14

  • Lines in play≈ 887kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$90.8Kto 17k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 54lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.06

Where the money went

  • Match 521%$19K
  • Match 427%$24.8K
  • Match 352%$47K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.06 by chance$4,500,000
  2. Match 5

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

89times
4994times

Every number was expected about that many times after 801 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (4, 10, 49) with the draw of 2 June 2014 — its closest relative in 801 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 February 2015): 49 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

123

The numbers add up to 123 — the 21th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 43 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 31% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
19≈ 16 by chance
$1,000
  • Match 4828≈ 860 by chance$30.00
  • Match 315,664≈ 16k by chance$3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈887k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 828 winners, 4% fewer than the 860 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$4,500,000
    Match 519$1,000
    Match 4828$30.00
    Match 315,664$3.00
    Totals16,511—