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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 24 December 2014

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 15
  2. 21
  3. 39
  4. 42
  5. 44
  6. 48

Jackpot$1,500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 · since Jan 2010draw 780 of 2,628 under them

← 2014-12-22All recent draws2014-12-27 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed15 21 39 42 44 4829 Aug 2026, 09:35 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 December 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 51% of every possible ticket.

  • sum96th
  • odd48th
  • low20th
  • widest gap71th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 95 of each

1577times
21102times
3999times
4296times
44

Prize breakdown · 2014-12-24

  • Lines in play≈ 538kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$50.4Kto 10.0k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 54lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.04

Where the money went

  • Match 514%$7.0K
  • Match 430%$14.9K
  • Match 356%$28.5K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.04 by chance$1,500,000
  2. Match 5

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

94times
4893times

Every number was expected about that many times after 779 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (15, 39, 48) with the draw of 29 September 2014 — its closest relative in 779 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 December 2014): 42 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

209

The numbers add up to 209 — the 96th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 67% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
7≈ 9.9 by chance
$1,000
  • Match 4498≈ 521 by chance$30.00
  • Match 39,488≈ 9.5k by chance$3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈538k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 498 winners, 4% fewer than the 521 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$1,500,000
    Match 57$1,000
    Match 4498$30.00
    Match 39,488$3.00
    Totals9,993—