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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 15 October 2011

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 27
  3. 28
  4. 39
  5. 41
  6. 45

Jackpot$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 · since Jan 2010draw 280 of 2,630 under them

← 2011-10-12All recent draws2011-10-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 27 28 39 41 4529 Aug 2026, 09:35 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 October 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

33oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 33 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 12% of every possible ticket.

  • sum85th
  • odd94th
  • low5th
  • widest gap88th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 34 of each

534times
2734times
2832times
3936times
41

Prize breakdown · 2011-10-15

  • Lines in play≈ 562kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$53.9Kto 10k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 54lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.04

Where the money went

  • Match 515%$8K
  • Match 430%$16.2K
  • Match 355%$29.8K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.04 by chance$1,000,000
  2. Match 5

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

37times
4534times

Every number was expected about that many times after 279 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 27, 28, 39) with the draw of 21 May 2011 — its closest relative in 279 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 24% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 October 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

185

The numbers add up to 185 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 27–28. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

45 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 55% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
8≈ 10 by chance
$1,000
  • Match 4539≈ 544 by chance$30.00
  • Match 39,921≈ 9.9k by chance$3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈562k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 539 winners, 1% fewer than the 544 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$1,000,000
    Match 58$1,000
    Match 4539$30.00
    Match 39,921$3.00
    Totals10,468—