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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 9 July 2011

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 4
  3. 8
  4. 9
  5. 29
  6. 48

Jackpot$6,400,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 · since Jan 2010draw 238 of 2,631 under them

← 2011-07-06All recent draws2011-07-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 4 8 9 29 4829 Aug 2026, 09:35 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 July 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 27% of every possible ticket.

  • sum6th
  • odd48th
  • low77th
  • widest gap81th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread98th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 29 of each

134times
430times
830times
929times
29

Prize breakdown · 2011-07-09

  • Lines in play≈ 1.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$6.5Mto 20k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 53lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 0.08

Where the money went

  • Match 698%$6.4M
  • Match 40.5%$33K
  • Match 30.9%$56.6K
  • 1 other tier0.4%$24K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 0.08 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

26times
4820times

Every number was expected about that many times after 237 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (1, 4, 9) with the draw of 15 January 2011 — its closest relative in 237 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 July 2011): 8 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

99

The numbers add up to 99 — the 6th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 8–9. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.0× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 23% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$6,400,000
  • Match 524≈ 20 by chance$1,000
  • Match 41,099≈ 1.0k by chance$30.00
  • Match 318,883≈ 19k by chance$3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,099 winners, 6% more than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61$6,400,000
    Match 524$1,000
    Match 41,099$30.00
    Match 318,883$3.00
    Totals20,007—