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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 2 March 2011

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 13
  3. 18
  4. 21
  5. 27
  6. 30

Jackpot$7,700,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 · since Jan 2010draw 183 of 2,629 under them

← 2011-02-28All recent draws2011-03-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 13 18 21 27 3029 Aug 2026, 09:35 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 March 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

41oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 24% of every possible ticket.

  • sum19th
  • odd48th
  • low77th
  • widest gap1th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread2th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 22 of each

1223times
1317times
1813times
2126times
27

Prize breakdown · 2011-03-02

  • Lines in play≈ 867kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$86.6Kto 16k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 54lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.06

Where the money went

  • Match 518%$16K
  • Match 428%$24.7K
  • Match 353%$45.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.06 by chance$7,700,000
  2. Match 5

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

22times
3023times

Every number was expected about that many times after 182 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (12, 18, 21) with the draw of 31 May 2010 — its closest relative in 182 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 February 2011): 21 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

121

The numbers add up to 121 — the 19th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 12–13. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.0× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 23% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
16≈ 16 by chance
$1,000
  • Match 4822≈ 840 by chance$30.00
  • Match 315,309≈ 15k by chance$3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈867k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 822 winners, 2% fewer than the 840 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$7,700,000
    Match 516$1,000
    Match 4822$30.00
    Match 315,309$3.00
    Totals16,147—