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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 25 December 2010

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 23
  2. 31
  3. 38
  4. 42
  5. 44
  6. 46

Jackpot$3,700,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 · since Jan 2010draw 154 of 2,628 under them

← 2010-12-22All recent draws2010-12-27 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed23 31 38 42 44 4629 Aug 2026, 09:35 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 December 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

21oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 21 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 2% of every possible ticket.

  • sum99th
  • odd20th
  • low5th
  • widest gap5th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread6th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 19 of each

2322times
3118times
3821times
4215times
44

Prize breakdown · 2010-12-25

  • Lines in play≈ 833kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$90.6Kto 16k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 54lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.06

Where the money went

  • Match 525%$23.0K
  • Match 426%$23.5K
  • Match 349%$44.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.06 by chance$3,700,000
  2. Match 5

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

19times
4619times

Every number was expected about that many times after 153 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (38, 42, 46) with the draw of 26 April 2010 — its closest relative in 153 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 December 2010): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

224

The numbers add up to 224 — the 99th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

46 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 67% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
23≈ 15 by chance
$1,000
  • Match 4784≈ 806 by chance$30.00
  • Match 314,694≈ 15k by chance$3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈833k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 784 winners, 3% fewer than the 806 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$3,700,000
    Match 523$1,000
    Match 4784$30.00
    Match 314,694$3.00
    Totals15,501—