Saturday, 17 December 2016

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (16, 23, 25) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 26 December 2015 — its closest relative in 698 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 December 2016): 1 carried over. Chance says 50% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (17% expected).

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 92 — the 30th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 105. No two numbers side by side. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.