Sunday, 22 November 2020

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (15, 29) with the draw of 5 November 2020 — its closest relative in 25 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 November 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 50% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 114 — the 63th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 105. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.