Saturday, 6 June 2020

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (19, 23, 24, 28) with the draw of 1 October 2019 — its closest relative in 2,700 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 76% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 June 2020): 23 carried over. Chance says 57% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 106 — the 80th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 88. Side-by-side numbers: 23–24. 49% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.