Thursday, 4 June 2020

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (1, 14, 19, 29) with the draw of 1 July 2019 — its closest relative in 2,698 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 76% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 June 2020): 29 carried over. Chance says 57% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 69 — the 18th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 88. No two numbers side by side. 49% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.