Friday, 19 May 2017

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (9, 12, 14, 30) with the draw of 8 October 2016 — its closest relative in 1,899 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 63% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 May 2017): 9 carried over. Chance says 57% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 99 — the 70th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 88. No two numbers side by side. 49% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.