Thursday, 14 October 2010

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (3, 4) with the draw of 11 October 2010 — its closest relative in 189 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 October 2010): nothing carried over. Chance says 57% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 54 — the 5th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 88. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3, 3–4. 49% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.