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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto Texas · draw
ResultLotto Texas
Jackpot$17,750,000
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/54 · since Jan 2010draw 1,907 of 2,021 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:55 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 January 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 77% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 212 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,906 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 21, 45, 46) with the draw of 18 November 2023 — its closest relative in 1,906 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 72% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (19 January 2026): 46 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 195 — the 79th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 165. Side-by-side numbers: 44–45, 45–46. 46% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →44 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 76% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈258k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 12,443 winners, 261% more than the 3.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 6 | 0 | $17,000,000 |
| Match 5 with Extra | 2 | $13,360 |
| Match 5 | 5 | $3,360 |
| Match 4 with Extra | 185 | $153 |
| Match 4 | 465 | $53.00 |
| Match 3 with Extra | 3,267 | $13.00 |
| Match 3 | 9,176 | $3.00 |
| Match 2 with Extra | 29,102 | $2.00 |
| Totals | 42,202 | — |